As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are O/U 3.5 at 88%, Winner at 50% and O/U 6.5 at 48%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Spread -1.5 moved the most this week: 18% to 29% (+11.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 | 88% | +3.0 pts | +3.0 pts | $187 |
| Winner | 50% | 0.0 pts | +2.5 pts | $10k |
| O/U 6.5 | 48% | −1.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $1k |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% | −0.5 pts | −0.5 pts | $582 |
| Spread -1.5 | 29% | +11.0 pts | +11.0 pts | $1k |
A price of 88% means traders pay about $0.88 for a “O/U 3.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | Winner · Yes | $3k | −$96 |
| royalestake | Winner · No | $1k | +$12 |
| TTdes | Winner · No | $1k | −$3 |
| LightParadox | Winner · Yes | $772 | −$27 |
| CAcap | Winner · No | $758 | +$8 |
| fyrsken | Spread -1.5 · No | $710 | −$10 |
| jayjaypt | Winner · No | $606 | +$6 |
| hurpdurp | Winner · No | $561 | +$6 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.