As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are O/U 4.5 at 80%, Winner at 60% and O/U 5.5 at 58%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Winner moved the most this week: 48% to 60% (+11.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 80% | −1.5 pts | −0.5 pts | $109 |
| Winner | 60% | +2.0 pts | +11.0 pts | $10k |
| O/U 5.5 | 58% | −1.0 pts | −5.0 pts | $132 |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% | +1.5 pts | +1.5 pts | $853 |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% | −6.5 pts | −6.5 pts | $38 |
A price of 80% means traders pay about $0.80 for a “O/U 4.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| roldy | Winner · Yes | $4k | +$171 |
| mooseborzoi | Winner · No | $2k | −$154 |
| HackTheSpread | Winner · Yes | $650 | +$2 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.