As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are O/U 4.5 at 82%, O/U 5.5 at 61% and O/U 6.5 at 51%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
O/U 4.5 moved the most this week: 80% to 82% (+2.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 82% | +3.0 pts | +2.5 pts | $0 |
| O/U 5.5 | 61% | −0.5 pts | −0.5 pts | $0 |
| O/U 6.5 | 51% | −1.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $0 |
| Winner | 42% | 0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $6k |
| O/U 7.5 | 28% | −3.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 82% means traders pay about $0.82 for a “O/U 4.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Libratus007 | Winner · No | $3k | −$79 |
| TTdes | Winner · Yes | $1k | +$12 |
| K00ldr4g0n | Winner · Yes | $558 | +$7 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.