As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are O/U 4.5 at 76%, Winner at 52% and O/U 5.5 at 52%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Winner moved the most this week: 41% to 52% (+11.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 76% | +6.0 pts | +5.5 pts | $4k |
| Winner | 52% | +2.0 pts | +11.5 pts | $39k |
| O/U 5.5 | 52% | +0.5 pts | +3.5 pts | $3k |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% | +1.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $7k |
| Spread -1.5 | 26% | −3.5 pts | −3.5 pts | $378 |
A price of 76% means traders pay about $0.76 for a “O/U 4.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | Winner · No | $12k | −$434 |
| chubbytoro | Winner · Yes | $12k | +$111 |
| CAcap | O/U 4.5 · Yes | $3k | +$42 |
| mooseborzoi | Winner · Yes | $2k | +$8 |
| AnonymousUsername | Spread -1.5 · No | $1k | −$10 |
| taylorsversion | O/U 5.5 · No | $1k | −$2 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -1.5 · Yes | $999 | −$18 |
| 0xd346…ee1f | O/U 4.5 · No | $944 | −$90 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.