As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Josh Allen at 25%, followed by Trevor Lawrence at 9% and Caleb Williams at 8%.
Josh Allen moved the most this week: 31% to 25% (−6.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 25% | −2.5 pts | −6.0 pts | $8k |
| Trevor Lawrence | 9% | −2.1 pts | +2.7 pts | $6k |
| Caleb Williams | 8% | −2.7 pts | +2.2 pts | $12k |
| Patrick Mahomes | 3% | −0.4 pts | −2.3 pts | $7k |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | 3% | −0.8 pts | −3.8 pts | $6k |
A price of 25% means traders pay about $0.25 for a “Josh Allen” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Jaxson Smith-Njigba · No | $28k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Patrick Mahomes · No | $28k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Caleb Williams · No | $27k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Trevor Lawrence · No | $27k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Josh Allen · No | $22k | – |
| termsandcondition | Caleb Williams · No | $19k | −$635 |
| Hyperlong | Caleb Williams · No | $6k | +$296 |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Josh Allen · Yes | $5k | +$1k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.