As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ $5,000 at 6%, ↑ $6,000 at 2% and ↓ $3,500 at 10%.
↓ $3,500 moved the most this week: 20% to 10% (−10.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $5,000 | 6% | −0.7 pts | −1.4 pts | $77k |
| ↑ $6,000 | 2% | +0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | $55k |
| ↑ $8,000 | 1% | 0.0 pts | −0.3 pts | $2k |
| ↑ $10,000 | 1% | 0.0 pts | −0.2 pts | $671 |
| ↓ $3,500 | 10% | +0.5 pts | −10.5 pts | $46k |
A price of 10% means traders pay about $0.10 for a “↓ $3,500” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avamax | ↑ $6,000 · No | $239k | +$8k |
| ronm238 | ↑ $6,000 · No | $192k | +$14k |
| Avamax | ↑ $5,000 · No | $97k | +$1k |
| Liquidifier | ↑ $6,000 · No | $54k | +$3k |
| ronm238 | ↑ $5,000 · No | $44k | +$231 |
| ningquewulan123 | ↑ $5,000 · No | $30k | −$16 |
| Liquidifier | ↑ $5,000 · No | $29k | +$4k |
| Alegrandebig | ↑ $6,000 · No | $25k | +$1k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.