As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 42% chance for “Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27”, up from 42% a week ago.
It moved +0.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 32% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42% | +0.5 pts | +1.0 pts | $11k |
A price of 42% means traders pay about $0.42 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| VGR22 | No | $4k | +$972 |
| trading.is.not.gambling | Yes | $3k | +$5 |
| spacegliderr | No | $2k | −$10 |
| WearyWanderer | Yes | $2k | −$360 |
| BluesRz246312 | Yes | $2k | +$428 |
| 0xa313…eb44 | No | $2k | −$358 |
| StudyPrediction | No | $860 | −$116 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.