As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Lando Norris at 80%, followed by Max Verstappen at 13% and Kimi Antonelli at 4%.
Lewis Hamilton moved the most this week: 48% to 2% (−46.3 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | 80% | +60.5 pts | +32.5 pts | $116k |
| Max Verstappen | 13% | −2.5 pts | −10.0 pts | $156k |
| Kimi Antonelli | 4% | −44.4 pts | −44.4 pts | $122k |
| Isack Hadjar | 3% | +1.5 pts | −44.3 pts | $18k |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2% | −2.1 pts | −46.3 pts | $42k |
A price of 80% means traders pay about $0.80 for a “Lando Norris” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0F62 | Kimi Antonelli · No | $19k | −$264 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Lewis Hamilton · No | $10k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Isack Hadjar · No | $10k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Kimi Antonelli · No | $9k | – |
| Jest55 | Max Verstappen · No | $9k | +$838 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Max Verstappen · No | $9k | – |
| jaytee158 | Max Verstappen · No | $7k | $0 |
| CUTJALENHURTS | Lando Norris · Yes | $7k | +$6k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.