The deadline passed on 8 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 100% chance for “Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 8”, up from 26% a week ago.
It moved +79.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 26% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +79.5 pts | +74.5 pts | $15k |
A price of 100% means traders pay about $1.00 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| JackMa01 | Yes | $1k | +$1 |
| yaoying666 | Yes | $533 | +$27 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.