As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Anthropic at 88%, Discord at 3% and Revolut at 3%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Discord moved the most this week: 6% to 3% (−3.2 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 88% | 0.0 pts | −1.5 pts | $38k |
| Discord | 3% | −2.2 pts | −3.2 pts | $6k |
| Revolut | 3% | −0.4 pts | −0.6 pts | $54 |
| OpenAI | 2% | 0.0 pts | −1.6 pts | $18k |
| Anduril Industries | 1% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $1k |
A price of 88% means traders pay about $0.88 for a “Anthropic” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| oceanmist79 | Anthropic · Yes | $10k | +$2k |
| 0xe617…f251 | OpenAI · No | $10k | +$154 |
| BTCisaHarshMistress | Anthropic · Yes | $9k | +$1k |
| DEGENKHAN | OpenAI · No | $9k | +$127 |
| nelbal8486 | OpenAI · No | $7k | +$2k |
| jcsberger | OpenAI · No | $7k | +$189 |
| Paul973973 | Anthropic · Yes | $7k | −$79 |
| earshot.zenith | OpenAI · No | $6k | +$2k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Finance · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.