As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Zoran Janković at 62%, followed by Luka Mesec at 38%.
Luka Mesec moved the most this week: 30% to 38% (+9.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoran Janković | 62% | +1.0 pts | −6.5 pts | $21k |
| Luka Mesec | 38% | +0.5 pts | +9.0 pts | $24k |
A price of 62% means traders pay about $0.62 for a “Zoran Janković” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Luka Mesec · No | $11k | – |
| Hannah-Montana | Zoran Janković · Yes | $9k | +$452 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Zoran Janković · No | $7k | – |
| w3b | Luka Mesec · No | $3k | −$336 |
| MarkoBitenc | Zoran Janković · Yes | $1k | −$636 |
| atlasf | Luka Mesec · Yes | $1k | +$201 |
| 0x74ab…0666 | Luka Mesec · Yes | $1k | +$90 |
| 0x277a…a728 | Zoran Janković · Yes | $984 | −$61 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.