As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ $4,300 at 32%, ↑ $4,400 at 16% and ↑ $4,500 at 5%.
↑ $4,300 moved the most this week: 16% to 32% (+15.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $4,300 | 32% | −1.0 pts | +15.5 pts | $4k |
| ↑ $4,400 | 16% | −0.5 pts | +11.5 pts | $4k |
| ↑ $4,500 | 5% | −1.8 pts | +1.8 pts | $12k |
| ↑ $4,600 | 2% | −0.7 pts | +0.7 pts | $17k |
| ↓ $3,500 | 3% | −0.1 pts | −4.1 pts | $10k |
A price of 32% means traders pay about $0.32 for a “↑ $4,300” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x74b4…6bea | ↑ $4,600 · No | $8k | +$96 |
| 0x74b4…6bea | ↑ $4,500 · No | $2k | −$20 |
| C03B | ↓ $3,500 · No | $2k | +$40 |
| Avamax | ↓ $3,500 · No | $1k | +$39 |
| 0x74b4…6bea | ↓ $3,500 · No | $1k | +$10 |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | ↓ $3,500 · No | $1k | +$10 |
| kiteczbnsaixingren14z | ↓ $3,500 · No | $1k | −$1 |
| Avamax | ↑ $4,600 · No | $1k | +$29 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.