As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ 1.40 at 20%, ↑ 1.60 at 6% and ↓ 1.00 at 34%.
↑ 1.40 moved the most this week: 46% to 20% (−26.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1.40 | 20% | +1.0 pts | −26.0 pts | $4k |
| ↑ 1.60 | 6% | 0.0 pts | −7.0 pts | $7k |
| ↑ 2.00 | 3% | +0.7 pts | −0.5 pts | $63k |
| ↓ 0.80 | 6% | 0.0 pts | +1.9 pts | $30k |
| ↓ 1.00 | 34% | +2.5 pts | +16.5 pts | $69k |
A price of 34% means traders pay about $0.34 for a “↓ 1.00” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 2.00 · No | $17k | +$161 |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 1.00 · No | $14k | −$2k |
| 0x06dc…4524 | ↓ 0.80 · No | $12k | −$195 |
| btna | ↓ 1.00 · Yes | $12k | +$5k |
| fiankee | ↓ 1.00 · No | $10k | −$2k |
| 0x06dc…4524 | ↑ 2.00 · No | $6k | +$69 |
| fiankee | ↓ 0.80 · No | $6k | −$72 |
| 0x06dc…4524 | ↑ 1.60 · No | $5k | +$498 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.