As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is M + KD + L + C at 46%, followed by S + MP + C + V at 12% and S + MP at 8%.
M + KD + L + C moved the most this week: 8% to 46% (+38.9 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M + KD + L + C | 46% | −1.2 pts | +38.9 pts | $16k |
| S + MP + C + V | 12% | −6.5 pts | −7.0 pts | $12k |
| S + MP | 8% | +2.0 pts | −10.5 pts | $6k |
| M + KD + L + SD | 5% | 0.0 pts | −4.4 pts | $7k |
| M + KD + L | 3% | −2.2 pts | −11.7 pts | $9k |
A price of 46% means traders pay about $0.46 for a “M + KD + L + C” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | M + KD + L · No | $6k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | M + KD + L + SD · No | $6k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | S + MP · No | $6k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | S + MP + C + V · No | $6k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | M + KD + L + C · No | $4k | – |
| KimchiCapital | S + MP + C + V · No | $1k | +$83 |
| madmartigan5 | M + KD + L + C · Yes | $772 | −$72 |
| fredrikhage2 | M + KD + L + C · Yes | $756 | +$86 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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