As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 2% chance for “Xi Jinping out before 2027”, unchanged from a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 3% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0.0 pts | −0.2 pts | $270k |
A price of 2% means traders pay about $0.02 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| onekey02 | No | $328k | +$21k |
| elmcap2 | No | $257k | +$4k |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | $207k | +$5k |
| 0x4004…c40b | No | $172k | +$6k |
| uycghj4 | No | $134k | +$9k |
| 0xf8f9…a2cb | No | $121k | +$14k |
| IGORS | No | $109k | +$2k |
| TraderSDG | No | $98k | +$5k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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