As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Hike–Pause–Hike at 76%, followed by Hike–Pause–Pause at 20% and Other at 1%.
Hike–Pause–Pause moved the most this week: 28% to 20% (−7.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike–Pause–Hike | 76% | 0.0 pts | +4.0 pts | $43k |
| Hike–Pause–Pause | 20% | −1.5 pts | −7.0 pts | $18k |
| Other | 1% | 0.0 pts | −0.4 pts | $0 |
A price of 76% means traders pay about $0.76 for a “Hike–Pause–Hike” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Other · No | $43k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Hike–Pause–Pause · No | $35k | – |
| simpleman | Hike–Pause–Hike · Yes | $14k | +$2k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Hike–Pause–Hike · No | $11k | – |
| cigarettes | Hike–Pause–Pause · No | $6k | −$118 |
| chunqiu | Hike–Pause–Hike · Yes | $4k | +$196 |
| Roflan-ludoman | Hike–Pause–Pause · Yes | $4k | −$279 |
| pieped | Hike–Pause–Hike · Yes | $3k | −$19 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Finance · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.