As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 22% chance for “Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31”, down from 22% a week ago.
It moved −1.0 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 24% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 22% | −1.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $34k |
A price of 22% means traders pay about $0.22 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| frostnovae | No | $39k | −$282 |
| 881112 | Yes | $3k | +$11 |
| Nadmi | Yes | $2k | +$1k |
| Natstar777 | No | $2k | +$90 |
| gods-eye | No | $2k | +$90 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | $1k | −$158 |
| tkrtl | Yes | $941 | +$104 |
| GammaSqueeze1234 | No | $785 | +$87 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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