As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) at 10%, Dilution of Iran's Uranium at 10% and 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium at 9%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) moved the most this week: 13% to 8% (−5.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | 10% | 0.0 pts | −3.0 pts | $6k |
| Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 10% | +1.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $48k |
| 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | 9% | −1.0 pts | −5.5 pts | $13k |
| Enriched Uranium Surrender | 8% | 0.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $34k |
| Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | 8% | −4.0 pts | −5.5 pts | $51k |
A price of 10% means traders pay about $0.10 for a “≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| paddaa | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) · No | $16k | +$574 |
| Valen9 | 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium · No | $10k | +$313 |
| hopedieslast | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) · No | $9k | +$796 |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) · No | $9k | +$511 |
| CryptoFarm | Enriched Uranium Surrender · No | $7k | +$63 |
| paddaa | Dilution of Iran's Uranium · No | $7k | +$530 |
| DooBieZ | Enriched Uranium Surrender · No | $5k | +$26 |
| adonpoli | Dilution of Iran's Uranium · No | $4k | +$161 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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