As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Xi Jinping at 94%, Vladimir Putin at 87% and Sam Altman at 20%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Benjamin Netanyahu moved the most this week: 30% to 4% (−25.1 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | 94% | −0.5 pts | −0.4 pts | $16k |
| Vladimir Putin | 87% | 0.0 pts | +2.0 pts | $11k |
| Sam Altman | 20% | −2.0 pts | −10.0 pts | $10k |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 7% | +2.2 pts | −3.7 pts | $15k |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 4% | −1.1 pts | −25.1 pts | $10k |
A price of 94% means traders pay about $0.94 for a “Xi Jinping” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b95…19ba | Xi Jinping · Yes | $3k | −$33 |
| nonkenny90 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy · No | $3k | +$49 |
| Udonsan | Vladimir Putin · Yes | $3k | +$89 |
| Udonsan | Volodymyr Zelenskyy · No | $2k | +$152 |
| nonkenny90 | Benjamin Netanyahu · No | $2k | +$83 |
| Cattail | Volodymyr Zelenskyy · No | $1k | +$143 |
| MrNoItAll | Xi Jinping · Yes | $1k | −$26 |
| Udonsan | Benjamin Netanyahu · No | $1k | +$399 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Geopolitics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.