As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 2% chance for “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027”, down from 3% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 2% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $157k |
A price of 2% means traders pay about $0.02 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| TraderSDG | No | $497k | +$71k |
| elmcap2 | No | $222k | +$20k |
| Macks22 | No | $202k | +$38k |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | $144k | +$9k |
| keribit | No | $106k | +$9k |
| 0x9507…7b04 | No | $93k | +$8k |
| TerreMoto | No | $90k | +$12k |
| Batundi | No | $62k | +$6k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.