As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is No Next Minister by Feb 28 at 31%, followed by Avigdor Lieberman at 15% and Gadi Eizenkot at 7%.
No Next Minister by Feb 28 moved the most this week: 49% to 31% (−18.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 31% | +4.5 pts | −18.4 pts | $9k |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 15% | −3.2 pts | +7.6 pts | $5k |
| Gadi Eizenkot | 7% | −1.8 pts | −7.8 pts | $830 |
| Moshe Feiglin | 2% | −0.2 pts | +0.7 pts | $695 |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 1% | −0.6 pts | −0.9 pts | $147 |
A price of 31% means traders pay about $0.31 for a “No Next Minister by Feb 28” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Itamar Ben Gvir · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Moshe Feiglin · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Gadi Eizenkot · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avigdor Lieberman · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No Next Minister by Feb 28 · No | $2k | – |
| HolyMoses7 | No Next Minister by Feb 28 · Yes | $923 | −$383 |
| M2sx92kljs42 | Avigdor Lieberman · No | $816 | +$29 |
| Haradwaith | Avigdor Lieberman · No | $651 | −$9 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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