As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see 10% by 31 December and 34% by 30 June 2027.
The 30 June 2027 line moved the most this week: 36% to 34% (−3.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 December 2026 | 10% | −0.5 pts | −1.4 pts | $6k |
| 30 June 2027 | 34% | 0.0 pts | −3.0 pts | $1k |
A price of 34% means traders pay about $0.34 for the 30 June 2027 share, which pays $1 if it happens by then. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| enekestomi | December 31, 2026 · No | $7k | +$509 |
| boomboomfan | December 31, 2026 · No | $4k | +$390 |
| 0x5fad…b78f | December 31, 2026 · No | $2k | −$1 |
| Ketabi | December 31, 2026 · No | $2k | −$94 |
| BlondBeast | December 31, 2026 · No | $2k | +$323 |
| 0xee67…fd6d | December 31, 2026 · No | $2k | +$127 |
| thoodr | December 31, 2026 · No | $1k | +$37 |
| bebopkotl | December 31, 2026 · No | $1k | +$106 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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