The deadline passed on 4 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 99% chance for “Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026”, up from 26% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 24% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99% | 0.0 pts | +72.9 pts | $371k |
A price of 99% means traders pay about $0.99 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | Yes | $42k | +$12k |
| Rene22 | Yes | $30k | +$20k |
| 0x4488…e319 | Yes | $10k | +$7k |
| Railcool | Yes | $9k | +$6k |
| supersmard | Yes | $9k | +$6k |
| nehcnehc | Yes | $9k | +$22 |
| HotDogs | Yes | $6k | +$30 |
| deuxgaules | Yes | $6k | +$4k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.