The deadline passed on 4 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Scott Colom (D) at 99%, followed by Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) at 1%.
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) moved the most this week: 88% to 1% (−87.3 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Colom (D) | 99% | −0.6 pts | +87.1 pts | $2.5M |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | 1% | +0.4 pts | −87.3 pts | $3.2M |
A price of 99% means traders pay about $0.99 for a “Scott Colom (D)” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · No | $384k | – |
| 0x0c0e…434e | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · No | $211k | +$1k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | Scott Colom (D) · Yes | $145k | +$1k |
| Railcool | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · No | $113k | +$100k |
| 0x1bc3…dc6e | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · No | $96k | +$82k |
| lastminwin | Scott Colom (D) · Yes | $76k | +$66k |
| Trump2028 | Scott Colom (D) · Yes | $55k | −$354 |
| Trump2028 | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · No | $54k | −$298 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.