The deadline passed on 3 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is None at 98%, followed by AK at 1%.
None moved the most this week: 26% to 98% (+72.9 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 98% | −0.3 pts | +72.9 pts | $8.2M |
| AK | 1% | +0.2 pts | 0.0 pts | $1.6M |
A price of 98% means traders pay about $0.98 for a “None” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | AK · No | $2.5M | – |
| 0xa2cd…2ba0 | None · Yes | $1.7M | +$1.1M |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | None · Yes | $313k | +$49k |
| dromedaryy | None · Yes | $273k | +$171k |
| HorribleWork | None · Yes | $215k | +$162k |
| mr.ozi | None · Yes | $189k | +$124k |
| flawfence | None · Yes | $169k | +$123k |
| 0xe234…304a | None · Yes | $144k | +$65k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.