As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is President at 45%, followed by Senate at 42% and Neither at 11%.
President moved the most this week: 61% to 45% (−16.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| President | 45% | +2.0 pts | −16.0 pts | $12k |
| Senate | 42% | +3.0 pts | +9.3 pts | $2k |
| Neither | 11% | +1.1 pts | +6.6 pts | $975 |
A price of 45% means traders pay about $0.45 for a “President” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Neither · No | $7k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Senate · No | $5k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | President · No | $4k | – |
| DirkDiggler67 | President · No | $3k | +$1k |
| l3t0 | President · Yes | $2k | −$958 |
| PropheticFire | Senate · Yes | $1k | −$89 |
| Gladius7 | President · Yes | $789 | −$229 |
| aenews2 | President · Yes | $690 | −$302 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.